China hurts itself, not India, at NSG meeting

China hurts itself, not India, at NSG meeting

By M.D. Nalapat | 25 June, 2016
Now onwards, those seeking to block Chinese companies from freely operating in markets in India will go about their own blockades less obstructed.

In 2001, when President George W. Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney spurned the offer of Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee to accept India as the lead partner in the region against terror groups operating in Afghanistan and instead showered largesse on Pakistan under Pervez Musharraf, the ISI ensured that NATO cash and materiel went to those who were closet Taliban warlords, thereby creating a revival of that militia that was funded by its declared enemies. GHQ in Rawalpindi dangled the prospect of a peace deal with the Taliban, in the process inserting sympathisers into the Afghan government, who paralysed it from the inside and reported on it for their terrorist friends. By moving away from India, leverage by the US on GHQ was lost and both the escape of terror elements (who later surfaced in countries across continents) as well as the resurgence of the Taliban became inevitable.

There was never an “either or” choice in 2001 between India and Pakistan, for the reason that Islamabad would have panicked at closer US ties with Delhi and cooperated not just in words but in deed in the conflict. Washington has paid a monumental price for its error in relying on Pakistan to fight the very terrorists that were being nurtured by GHQ.

Now China has joined the US in adopting a policy that places the interests of the Pakistan army above that of the Chinese people, by scuttling India’s bid to join the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) at the just-concluded Seoul summit. Such opposition from China converted what could have been a transformational point in Sino-Indian ties into a disaster, not for India, but for China. From now onwards, when the MHA and other elements in the bureaucracy seek to restrict the entry into the domestic market of Chinese telecom, energy and infrastructure providers, it will be harder for those who understand the benefits to both countries of strong India-China commercial ties, to protest. By its equating of India with a much smaller country, Pakistan, Beijing has shown that it will seek to confine India into the “South Asia” box rather than accept the country as an equal.

Had China abstained at the NSG meeting and thereby allowed the vote on India to go ahead, a neo-Wahhabi country such as Turkey or those nostalgic about the period when Europe ruled Asia (such as Ireland and Austria) may still have blocked the entry of India into the NSG. However, by not standing in the way of NSG accession, China would have shown itself to be the friend of India that it claims to be.

This country did not expect to be humiliated by an arithmetically nonsensical equating of India with Pakistan, a formulation as devoid of commonsense as equating North Korea with China.

The blocking by China of India’s entry at Seoul has weakened China’s few friends in policymaking groups in India, and sharply added to the power of China’s enemies. It has been a self-goal of the same magnitude as the 2001 Bush-Cheney decision to trust the GHQ arsonist with putting out the terrorist fire.

It had been expected that President Xi Jinping would have the political strength to face down a PLA that follows the lead given by the Pakistan army in a most faithful manner, no matter that such moves are often against the interests of the Chinese people.

However, it is clear that President Xi has still not gained the control over the military needed to ensure that those in uniform do not get policies formulated that are opposed to China’s own interests, simply to favour an alien military that is an incubator for terror groups.

Given the post-Seoul reality that China sees India as an inferior power undeserving of access to groupings such as the NSG, the entire policy of nuclear restraint that India has been following may now be given a relook.

Those who rage that entry into the NSG means very little in practical terms are correct. However, what is important is the signalling that support or opposition to India’s becoming a member gives.

Those backing India consider this country an equal, and not as a pariah. Those opposing view it as an inferior country, no matter how much honey they pour into the language used to describe India.

As in 2001 with the US, going with India in 2016 would not in any way have resulted in Islamabad cutting off its linkages with Beijing. Both the US as well as China are crucial to the survival of the Pakistan army, which is why it is a surprise that policymakers in both Beijing as well as Washington believe that GHQ has any choice other than accepting the fact that it is in the national interest of both China as well as the US to have close ties with India.

While our country loses very little because of China’s decision to back Pakistan against its own longer-term interest, the loser will be China.

From now onwards, those seeking to block Chinese companies from freely operating in markets in India will go about their own blockades less obstructed. The India market will follow the example of those in countries where security considerations are used to exclude China.

For those in India who wish to see the two giants of Asia move closer together, Beijing’s folly at Seoul has been a painful blow.

 

There are 243 Comments

What an utter codswallop. China has acted in what it perceives to be its interests and so must India. Chinese shennanigans must be treated as giving India a free hand towards Vietnam. India must supply not only Bramhos missiles to Vietnam but also facilitate development of nuclear weapons by that country. India gave up that opportunity with its meek acceptance of Tibet and Taiwan as parts of China. That foolishness enabled China to invade in 1962. Revival of a claim for free Tibet thereafter would have elicited support from the West and even may be USSR, but India never thought along those lines resulting in the Chinese hegemony todate. Give open support to Vietnam, Indonesia, Phillipines and Japan over the South China Sea issue. Patrol South China Sea in the company of USA and then see China behaving itself. If India is not prepared for this then she should for ever remain beholden to the Chinese monkey.

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unfortunately Indian under dynasty never acted in the interest of India or its people.

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Chinese goods needs to be banned. Tgey can't sell cheap stuff here and we keep feeding their economy. If they want let them make in India with Indian ppl. By blocking India at NSG, India won't lose anything as its status quo for us but this vote told us who is our friend who is not. Now it's d world who has to decide whether to deal with India or no. 10 countries who didn't support India shd b taught lesson of non cooperation. In this global economy if v don't help each other, then there is no point in having cooperation. India already declared that without NSG seat, we won't b able to fulfill our promise on climate change. This is d best reaction we could give immediately. But as an Indian, v shd block Chinese products to start with and Pakistan shd b exposed and shd b stopped at all international levels for any aid or weapon purchases.

Right. It is China that appears isolated. India looses nothing materially.China in the meantime has lot to learn from USA and NATO about how not to get closer to Pakistan.In spite of those body bags and billions that it has lost in Afghanistan, USA has not learnt its lessons.Same will apply to China - after a decade.

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China suffers from an acute inferiority complex vis-a-vis India. This fact combined with the deep friction present within Chinese Government between Military and the civil side is another reason that the PLA is always trying to sabotage any improvement in the relation partly to maintain it's importance and partly to cowtow the Pakistan Army. Chinese foreign policy until now has been a failure. It is not able to justify it's stand on the border and the land grab. This issue combined with Tibet and the so-called xinjiang will be source of many problems. Philippines which had closed the US bases had to re-invite them and Vietnam is now very close to US. China's action in South China island reclamation is going to be a call for trouble. India must not entertain any dream of friendship with China the best could be a working relationship.

China has always followed policy of keeping strategic pressure on its likely competitors. They have cleverly used existing enmities to serve their interests. They provided N. Korea with missile technology to keep pressure on Japan and S. Korea. They gave nuclear technology to Pakistan to keep India under pressure. They are practitioners of Chanakya Neeti, Our leaders had naive expectations in helping China. It is very heartening that PM Modi is reversing it. He is keeping national strategic interests above all else has made it clear that these are not negotiable. He has put in great efforts to change the thinking and perception of our own people as well as the world about India. Only after this there will be change in action. He has inherited very bad state of affairs, but is trying his best. We are lucky to have such a visionary, pragmatic leader who knows that there is difference in applying great principles at a personal level and in national affairs.

India should revoke its recognition of Tibet as a part of China. Just say that Nehru and Vajpayee were wrong, we re-examined Chinese claims and realized that they are not strong enough. Declare Tibet as disputed at least. All of Chinese territorial claims on India, such as on Arunachal Pradesh, are through Tibet. India should just declare that it will discuss any border disputes with a legitimate government of Tibet and regards China as just an occupier of Tibet and not the legitimate government of Tibet.

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